The Miami Heat visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Heat vs Pistons Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Heat are 32-33 against the spread, while the Pistons are 32-32 against the spread.
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Heat vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Pistons vs Heat Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Sunday‘s game with 76.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Heat and Pistons.
Pistons vs Heat Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 55.2% confidence.
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Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 away games (+26.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 75 games (+22.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+19.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 36 games (+18.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 90 games (+16.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+13.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 32-33 (-4.3 Units / -5.92% ROI).
- 36-30 against the Moneyline (-2.8 Units / -2.38% ROI)
- 24-42 against the Over for game total points (-22.2 Units / -30.58% ROI)
- 42-24 against the Under for game total points (+15.6 Units / 21.49% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 32-32 (-3.2 Units / -4.41% ROI).
- 12-54 against the Moneyline (-28 Units / -40.14% ROI)
- 33-32 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -3.03% ROI)
- 32-33 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -5.92% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 77 games (-35.90 Units / -44% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-22.75 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 61 games (-17.35 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 71 games (-15.25 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 48 games (-14.70 Units / -26% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 98 games (-31.90 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 75 games (-30.00 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.80 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-22.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-22.70 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Player Injuries for Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats