UFC Fight Night Betting Preview
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night predictions and picks for March 16th with Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura headlining the event in a heavyweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV.
WagerTalk also offers Free UFC Picks all year long!
Tai Tuivasa vs Marcin Tybura: UFC Fight Night Main Event
SPECIAL OFFER FOR FIRST TIME SUBSCRIBERS
Thanks for signing up! Check your email in a few minutes for your $15.00 Coupon Code. Thanks for signing up!
You are not eligible for this offer
ANY SINGLE PURCHASE AT WAGERTALK.COM
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
UFC Fight Night Predictions
Charalampos Grigoriou -205 v Chad Anheliger +170
The price on Grigoriou is pure insanity in this fight. Grigoriou is coming off a quick knockout win on Contender Series, but the guy he was fighting was terrible, and I think the books are putting way too much stock into that.
Anheliger isn't a great fighter as he's lost two straight, and he's 37, but he's a big step up in competition for Grigoriou. Anheliger has ok striking, and he can grapple, and he definitely has cardio so that's a recipe for him to keep this fight close.
We've seen these Contender Series guys make their UFC debut this year, and most of them have not looked great when they fight UFC fighters, and it appears the difference in competition from Contender Series to the UFC is much wider than we might think.
Grigoriou fights cocky and with his hands down, and I'm picking the upset here as I think Anheliger just outworks Grigoriou with better volume on the striking, and moments where he scores takedowns and has ground control.
Cory McKenna -120 v Jaqueline Amorim +100
This fight is about as close as it gets, and the odds properly reflect that as both fighters have similar skillsets.
Both have good forward pressure, solid striking and both can have success on the feet and on the ground. I'll give the slight edge to Amorim here though because I think she she can do a bit more damage and work on the ground.
In McKenna's last fight against Vlismas, McKenna was able to clinch and control Vlismas, and in round three she got the takedown and controlled her the entire round for the win, but there wasn't a ton of damage.
I think Amorim has a bit more power than McKenna and when they get in the clinch and on the ground Amorim will do more damage in the eyes of the judges. It's a super close fight, and I think it goes the distance, but I like Amorim in this matchup.
Josh Culibao -198 v Danny Silva +164
Silva is coming off of a crazy fight on Contender Series where he landed over 200 significant strikes on the feet, and he showed plenty of cardio and accurate striking.
The problem was that his opponent also landed over 200 significant strikes, and the fight was just two guys punching each other, and Silva didn't show me too many levels to his game.
Culibao is coming off a loss to Lerone Murphy, who is undefeated, but the fight was very close and we saw Culibao show he can clinch, work leg and body kicks, and just do a lot more than Silva.
I think Culibao has more weapons and this is a massive step up in competition from what Silva has been fighting, and I've not been impressed with these Contender Series fighters from last season.
I think Silva is tough, but Culibao will piece him up from many different angles and show Silva he needs to add more weapons to his game to succeed in the UFC. Culibao is a confident pick for me.
Jafel Filho -175 v Ode Osbourne +145
Filho almost shocked the world when he almost make Mokaev tap in his UFC debut on short notice, and even though he lost, he looked like he belonged in the UFC, and he looked great in his next fight when he finished Barez with a nice submission after Barez rocked Filho early.
It was a crazy fight where Filho got hurt early, but he weathered the storm, got the takedown and the quick finish.
Ode Osbourne is not looking good these days as he lost to Tyson Nam trying to do a really dumb jumping knee that caused him to get KO'd, and he lost to Almabaev by submission, and in between won a split decision against Charles Johnson that he could have easily lost.
Osbourne's wins are against fighters with little to no success in the UFC, and he has very limited upside.
I love the toughness and aggression from Filho, and he's showed good submission skills and I believe that's how he wins here. I like Filho to win, and it might be worth a sprinkle to take him to win by submission when props come out.
Isaac Dulgarian -148 v Christian Rodriguez +124
Dulgarian fights like an energy drink as it's high pressure, big bursts of power, and lots of early finishes. He's overwhelmed all six of his opponents in his career including getting the early finish against Francis Marshall in his UFC debut.
Rodriguez is a patient veteran with good ground game, and he fights very differently as he's slow and methodical and likes to wear down his opponent. He's going to have to survive the early onslaught of Dulgarian, and what's difficult for us is we don't know what Dulgarian will look like in rounds two and three because he's never been there.
I feel like if you are wanting to bet on Dulgarian, just take him to win by finish, and that's what the play will be.
Rodriguez has won his last two fights by getting beat up in round one, and then winning the next two rounds when his opponents gassed out, but that's playing with fire too much, and I think Dulgarian does what Rosas Jr. and Saiman couldn't do which is finish C-Rod in the first.
I'll wait til props come out and then take Dulgarian to win inside the distance.
Josiane Nunes -142 v Chelsea Chandler +120
Nunes has won all three of her UFC fights, but there are concerns for sure as she's short, and it makes it difficult for her to close the distance and get inside.
She has good striking, and she's very aggressive on the feet, but her striking can a bit sloppy at times, and she leaves herself open to get hit.
Chandler is an aggressive striker as well who also has questionable strike defense, and she really struggled on the ground against Norma Dumont in her last fight, but Nunes doesn't wrestle so Chandler probably won't have to work about it.