Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 12
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 12

The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 3-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 8-5 ATS.

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Joey Wiemer has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 158 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 3-6 against the Run Line (-5.07 Units / -40.02% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.24 Units / -32.27% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 15.84% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -25.26% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.71 Units / 16.14% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.61 Units / 3.85% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.83 Units / -41.06% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.57 Units / 31.74% ROI

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of just .458 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 53% (99/187) against Colin Rea in the 2023 season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .211 (53-for-251) against Colin Rea’s fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 95th Percentile.

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of .994 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — fourth Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (824/1,808) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (1,150/2,678) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele located 45% of his pitches inside (324/715) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (215/463) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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