The Minnesota Twins (+170) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-210) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in North Port, FL.

This season, the Twins are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 6-4 ATS.

Twins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Joey Gallo has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.95 Units / 47% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.85 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Chadwick Tromp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 83 away games (+11.39 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 6-5 against the Run Line (-0.13 Units / -0.96% ROI).

• 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -13.93% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.28 Units / -10.87% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 2.4% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 6-4 against the Run Line (+1.53 Units / 11.83% ROI).

• 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 9.79% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.52 Units / -4.76% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.67 Units / -5.98% ROI

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Paddack has limited playing time.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 42% (332/783) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider had a strikeout rate of 37% (281/763) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider struck out 67 batters on three pitches in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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