Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 11
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 11

The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the Athletics are 6-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 4-9 ATS.

Athletics vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jordan Lawlar has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.35 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.97 Units / 41.59% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.37 Units / 21.78% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -4.11% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 4-9 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -39.74% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.81 Units / -23.13% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 3.51% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -11.5% ROI

Joe Boyle has limited playing time.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson had an ERA of 8.25 (55.2 IP) at home in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.

Opponents batted .356 (84-for-236) against Ryne Nelson at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (150 Total Bases / 236 ABs) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .411 — 0 Percentile.

Ryne Nelson struck out just 14% (42/304) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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