The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit BayCare Ballpark to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-130) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Clearwater, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 7-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Johan Rojas has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Garrett Stubbs has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -37.61% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -31.23% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -21.82% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 16.33% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Phillies are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.09 Units / 13.51% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.97 Units / -6.39% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -36.79% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.78 Units / 30.71% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ricky Tiedemann is making his MLB debut today.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 17% (107/611) against Taijuan Walker in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (256/1,250) against Taijuan Walker in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.
Taijuan Walker had a strike rate of just 61% (1,722/2,837) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 30% (95/312) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.