Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 8
Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 8

The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 6:05pm EST in West Palm Beach, FL.

This season, the Cardinals are 2-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 5-5 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.30 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Drew Millas has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 144 games (+23.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 156 games (+2.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 0-9 against the Run Line (-10.69 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -36.85% ROI
  • 1-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.67 Units / -67.24% ROI
  • 7-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.97 Units / 60.3% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Nationals are 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.24 Units / -9.59% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.03 Units / 36.24% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.66 Units / 5.99% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.51 Units / -13.71% ROI

Lance Lynn had an ERA of 5.64 (183.2 IP)in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.84 — fourth Percentile.

Lance Lynn allowed a slugging percentage of .484 (353 Total Bases / 729 ABs) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents batted .259 (189-for-729) against Lance Lynn in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — eighth Percentile.

Lance Lynn allowed 44 home runs in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

28 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

Josiah Gray has an average spin rate of 1959.4 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 0 Percentile.

28 of Josiah Gray’s 95 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) were backdoor in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.

Josiah Gray allowed an OBP of .303 (380 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — third Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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