Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 8
Giants vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 8

The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 8:40pm EST in Peoria, AZ.

This season, the Giants are 2-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 5-6 ATS.

Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wade Meckler has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.45 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)

  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Giants are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.04 Units / -17.32% ROI).

  • 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.96 Units / -44.88% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 34.01% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.82 Units / -43.35% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Padres are 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -12.9% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.56 Units / 4.08% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -28.44% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.63 Units / 21.01% ROI

Mason Black is making his MLB debut today.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has an average spin rate of 2764.4 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted .455 (30-for-66) against Yu Darvish on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — third Percentile.

Yu Darvish threw breaking pitches 54% of the time (252/464) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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