The Kansas City Royals (-130) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (+110) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Royals are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 8-5 ATS.
Royals vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Royals vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 59 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 5-4 against the Run Line (+1.36 Units / 13.2% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.82 Units / 38.53% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -35.82% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.67 Units / 26.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.18 Units / 18.22% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 19.08% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.27 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.34 Units / -2.36% ROI
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th-worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth-best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 13% (6/45) against Seth Lugo in late innings in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Seth Lugo threw his curveball 38% of the time (482/1,255) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Seth Lugo threw his curveball 41% of the time (196/474) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .420 (29-for-69) against Jon Gray on fastballs away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Jon Gray allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (36/322 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted .513 (40-for-78) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — 0 Percentile.
Jon Gray had a strike rate of 70% (784/1,118) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.