The New York Yankees (-155) visit TD Ballpark to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+130) on Friday, March 8, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:07pm EST in Dunedin, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 2-7 ATS.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Franchy Cordero has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Everson Pereira has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+12.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Yankees are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -6.54% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.53 Units / -17.26% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -4.57% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.52% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -52.58% ROI).
- 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -42.7% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -13.57% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 8.11% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman threw fastballs down 56% of the time (657/1,169) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a groundball rate of 66% (74/113) against Marcus Stroman when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 63% (134/214) against Marcus Stroman in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (161/265) against Marcus Stroman in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (199 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.1 MPH on inside pitches since last season (410 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 85.7
Opponents had a miss rate of just 11% (14/128) against Chris Bassitt on changeups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 15% (17/110) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.