The Seattle Mariners (+120) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-145) on Wednesday, March 6, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

This season, the Mariners are 0-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 5-3 ATS.

Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mariners vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
• Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
• Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
• Nathan Eaton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 3-4 against the Run Line (-1.28 Units / -13.5% ROI).

• 0-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -88.76% ROI
• 7-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 90.56% ROI
• 0-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.67 Units / -100% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.36 Units / 25.38% ROI).

• 7-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 57.12% ROI
• 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -52.02% ROI
• 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 41.67% ROI

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth-best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season (tied for sixth-worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .234 (282 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Miller threw fastballs 65% of the time (423/648) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 67% of Bryce Miller’s pitches (431/648) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Angel Zerpa walked 8 of 182 batters (4%) in the 2023 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 20% (69/350) against Angel Zerpa in the 2023 season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.

Angel Zerpa allowed a slugging percentage of .545 (67 Total Bases / 123 ABs) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: .379 — third Percentile.

Angel Zerpa walked 8 of 182 batters (4%) in the 2023 season — 4th best among in AL; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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