The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 8:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-3 ATS.
Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.9% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alexander Canario has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Miguel Amaya has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.73 Units / 6% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.93 Units / -8.23% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -14.33% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.57 Units / 5.68% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 4-3 against the Run Line (+1.36 Units / 16.55% ROI).
- 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 57.73% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -44.67% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 34.59% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Caleb Kilian has limited playing time.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer had an ERA of 7.49 (51.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .372 (32-for-86) against Brady Singer’s elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.
Brady Singer had an ERA of 7.18 (62.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.42 — third Percentile.
Hitters chased just 64 of Brady Singer’s 511 fastballs out of the zone (chase rate of 12%) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.