The Cincinnati Reds (-105) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-115) on Saturday, March 2, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.

This season, the Reds are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-2 ATS.

Reds vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Reds vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 76% ROI)
• Curt Casali has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Christian Encarnacio has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
• Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 away games (+23.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 161 games (+20.80 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.93 Units / 22% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Reds are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 33.9% ROI).

• 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 22.35% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -8.79% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -5.88% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 26.85% ROI).

• 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.24 Units / 81.88% ROI
• 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 25.93% ROI
• 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -35.66% ROI

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 25% (32/128) against Hunter Greene in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Hunter Greene struck out 34% (83/244) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has averaged 98.6 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene had an average fastball velocity of 98.4 MPH in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 99th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 15% (19/128) on low non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 6% (7/127) against Cal Quantrill on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 16% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill had a strikeout rate of just 13% (58/444) in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill had a strike rate of just 59% (527/900) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — fifth Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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