A red-hot Cleveland team visits Memphis on Thursday, and we're offering our top Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are one of the NBA's hottest teams after winning nine of their last 10 games, and the squad is finally getting healthy entering February. Donovan Mitchell continues to be one of the league's best scorers, and he's producing arguably the greatest season of his career in his second campaign with the Cavaliers.
Cleveland has been enjoying a pair of superstars returning during the last two games, as Evan Mobley and Darius Garland are back to round out a very dangerous starting unit.
Meanwhile, this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Memphis Grizzlies. Steven Adams was ruled out for the campaign before it began, and superstar Ja Morant is also done for the year. Joining them on the sidelines are Desmond Bane and Marcus Smart. Meanwhile, Zaire Williams is out for Thursday's game, and Luke Kennard is listed as doubtful.
That should all lead to another straightforward victory for the Cavaliers, but we're more interested in who will shine in this potentially lopsided affair.
Here are our best Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our
best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies NBA player props: Thursday
- Vince Williams Under 24.5 PRA (-110 via BetMGM) ???
- Jaren Jackson Under 28.5 points + assists (-104 via FanDuel) ???
- Donovan Mitchell Under 27.5 points (-105 via BetRivers) ???
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Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies props
Grizzlies big man Vince Williams missed the team's last game with a knee injury, but he's set to return on Thursday. Santi Aldama started in Williams' place, recording 16 points, seven rebounds, and two assists – good enough to clear this total. However, Williams doesn't appear likely to give Memphis that level of production.< /p>
Williams is projected to finish with 23.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists against the Cavaliers, according to NumberFire. Those numbers are expected to come from a relatively full 35-minute workload, too, so his results could be even worse if this contest becomes a blowout and he's limited in the second half.
When we run that projection against BetMGM's -110 odds on Under 24.5 PRA, we're getting nearly 13% positive expected value on this bet.
The Under has been getting plenty of action at Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry. It opened at -115 and has already moved to -141 midway through Thursday.
You'll want to get in on this number before our best sports betting sites catch up with the sharp action.
This one is a bit daunting since Jaren Jackson is more or less all the Grizzlies have at this point. However, he's been wildly inefficient as a scorer since being forced to carry that load, which is reflected in his projections.
Jackson has shot 43 of 108 from the field (just under a 40% field-goal percentage) across his last five games. He's not exactly being an effective distributor to offset that, either.
The forward is projected to combine for 26.9 points and assists on Thursday. There's some value on the Under for his points and PRA props, too, but this is the best of the trio.
We're getting exactly 18% +EV on this bet based on that projection and FanDuel's -104 odds on the Under. Comparatively, our other best sports betting apps that offer this market have all listed the total at 27.5, with the Under more heavily juiced.
These rogue lines don't last long, so use our exclusive FanDuel promo code&nb sp;and bet this before it's too late.
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This is simply one of those instances when the line is too high for the projected game script. The Cavaliers are 8-point favorites, and they're playing the second game of a back-to-back set, so the starters could get fewer minutes.
Mitchell is projected to score 26.7 points a night after exploding for 45 against the Detroit Pistons. Based on that projection, we're getting nearly 12% +EV on this bet. Unfortunately, we were a bit too late on this one, as most of our best sportsbooks were offering Mitchell's points total at 28.5 to start the day.
However, Under 27.5 at these -105 odds via BetRivers is still a strong bet. Any one of these three picks could justifiably be considered a four-star bet, but I'm keeping them each at three stars because there's some uncertainty surrounding who's actually going to play for the Grizzlies.
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Cavaliers-Grizzlies NBA player props made Thursday at 11 a.m. ET.
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