Ten AP top 25 college basketball teams are in action on Tuesday, the most of any weekday for this week, and we offer our top college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday based on the best college basketball odds.
The newest edition of the AP top 25 was released Monday afternoon, and amid the numerous upsets this season, it may be shocking to know the top five teams were unchanged from a week ago.
However, many changes abound in the rest of the poll, with 10 teams moving up or down five spots. The fact that the top five teams are all members of five different conferences further exemplifies the parity in college basketball this season.
Here are our college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Tuesday's college basketball best bets
- Emanuel Miller (TCU) Over 17.5 points vs. Texas Tech (-115 via DraftKings) ????
- Tylor Perry (Kansas State) Over 4.5 assists vs. Oklahoma (-115 via DraftKings) ???
- Kansas -14.5 vs. Oklahoma State (-114 via FanDuel, DraftKings) ????
- Dayton -13 vs. George Washington (-110 via Caesars) ????
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Tuesday's college basketball schedule and odds
(Odds via Caesars)
- South Carolina vs. Tennessee | Spread: Tennessee -13.5 | Total: 137
- North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech | Spread: North Carolina -12.5 | Total: 152.5
- Illinois vs . Ohio State | Spread: Illinois -3 | Total: 150
- Marquette vs. Villanova | Spread: Villanova -1 | Total: 143
- Texas Tech vs. TCU | Spread: TCU -5.5 | Total: 150
- Oklahoma vs. Kansas State | Spread: Kansas State -1.5 | Total: 137
- San Diego State vs. Colorado State | Spread: Colorado State -1.5 | Total: 141
Tuesday's college basketball player props
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TCU senior forward Emanuel Miller is well-versed in the in-state rivalry with Texas Tech, going 3-1 against them in his career. And while he has never scored more than 16 points in any of those matchups, we have confidence in his growth and ability to score 18 or more points in his fifth crack at the Red Raiders.
Miller has scored 21 points in back-to-back games and has established himsel f as the Horned Frogs' primary option, as his 16.8 points per game average is more than five points better than the next closest teammate. He makes 39.1% of his 3-point attempts and consistently navigates his way to the free throw line, with six-plus attempts in four of the previous seven games.
In the past, Miller has been shut down by formidable Red Raiders defenses, but this year's version under Grant McCasland is nothing like the defenses that Chris Beard and Mark Adams have developed since 2017. Texas Tech ranks 12th in the Big 12 in adjusted defensive efficiency, giving up offensive rebounds at the second-highest rate (35.4%). But most concerning is that it allows a league-worst 38.5% from beyond the arc to league opponents, and Miller has an excellent chance of contributing multiple 3-point baskets for the fourth time in the last seven games.
This is a four-star play, as this is one of seven games with a projected to tal of 150-plus points, and we expect Miller to be a significant factor in the shootout.
Kansas State has not topped 70 points in any of its last five league games. However, we are buying low on the Wildcats offense, considering its previous two games were against the best Big 12 defenses in scoring average, Houston and Iowa State also rank in the top six in Division I in that metric.
Wildcats point guard Tylor Perry has still managed at least four assists in four of the five games amid that difficult stretch, and he has exceeded this projected total in 15 of 20 games. Perry ranks fifth in the conference, averaging five assists per game, and we expect him to improve that average against a Sooners defense that allows assists on 52.7% of opponents' made field goals (eighth in Big 12 play and up from 47.3% on the season).
Tuesday's college basketball game picks
Kansas has matche d its worst start in Big 12 play (4-3) in the Bill Self era, but the last time it started with four losses in its first seven league games, it went on to win its next four home games by an average of 19 points per game.
The Jayhawks' national title aspirations likely hinge on them finding more production from the bench. They rank in the bottom 10 of the country in percentage of bench minutes and have not just four points from reserve players in their last two games combined. That lack of production should not matter much against an Oklahoma State offense that ranks second-to-last in adjusted offensive efficiency in league play and is rebounding a Big 12-worst 22.6% of its missed shots. While the Cowboys will likely be able to slow down Kansas's transition offense, the Jayhawks rank first nationally in assists per field goals made (69.7%), so it is not like they struggle in the half-court.
Bill Self's squad has covered 70% of its games (7-3 ATS) after a loss since the start of last season, and we expect a spirited defensive effort at Allen Fieldhouse after allowing Iowa State to score 1.13 points per possession on Saturday.
We are making this wager at either FanDuel or DraftKings, as the rest of our best sportsbooks have the spread set at -15, and we suspect the line will increase throughout the day with bettors expecting a Jayhawks bounce-back.
George Washington is in an awful situational spot in this matchup, playing its third road game in the last 10 days. Dayton just suffered its third loss of the season, but we are not down on the Flyers, whose two previous losses were at Northwestern and a neutral-site loss to Houston.
Dayton outrebounded Richmond in its 69-64 loss on Saturday, holding the Spiders to just 21.1% shooting from 3-point range. However, the Flyers allowed 30 free throw attempts, something we do no t expect from George Washington, who ranks eighth in league play in free throws attempted per field goal attempt.
We expect Dayton to cover this big number, as it leads all A-10 teams with 37.5% of its points coming from beyond the arc in league play, while the Revolutionaries are allowing a league-worst 39.9% from 3-point range in league play. Dayton has covered 58.6% of its games (34-24-3 ATS) after a loss since 2017, while George Washington is 1-3 ATS as road 'dogs this season.
There is much value to be had with this spread at Caesars, as our other best sports betting sites have Dayton as at least a 14-point favorite.
College basketball best bets made Tuesday at 8:01 p.m. ET.
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