The Houston Texans won as underdogs last week but face a tougher test against the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional Round, and we're taking a look at our top Texans vs. Ravens NFL player props for the Divisional Round based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
After a blowout win as home underdogs on Wild Card Weekend, the Houston Texans hit the road to face the No. 1-seed Baltimore Ravens in the first game of the NFL Divisional Round on Saturday.
It'll be a showdown between Super Bowl MVP odds favorite Lamar Jackson – who's looking to shake off some playoff demons – and surefire Offensive Rookie of the Year C.J. Stroud, who's fresh off a brilliant performance in his first game under the postseason spotlight.
And looming over it all will be a force far greater than those two, and all of us combined: the almighty power of nature.
To accompany our Texans-Ravens prediction, C.J. Stroud NFL player prop picks, Lamar Jackson player prop picks, and Super Bowl picks and predictions, here are our best Texans-Ravens NFL player props for the Divisional Round (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Texans vs. Ravens NFL player props: Divisional Round
It's expected that Baltimore will be in a winter blender come kickoff time Saturday at 4:30 p.m. ET. A winter storm with significant snow is projected for Friday afternoon and into the evening, and then the forecast on Saturday afternoon is calling for 16-mph winds with gusts up 23 mph.
Passing could prove difficult while stuck in that swirling mess, especially for a quarterback whose been accustomed to the cozy confines of playing under a roof and in warm climates for much of his rookie season. Stroud's home stadium featu res a retractable roof, and the signal-caller has logged only five outdoor games as a result of both that and the many domed sites during his first journey around the NFL in 2023-24.
His quarterback rating of 85.1 outside is significantly worse than when he's more comfortable indoors (108.3). Stroud's completion percentage also drops considerably (65.5 to 60.63). So as sizzling as he's been, the realities of his experience and the limitations of the weather could force the Texans to shift their offensive emphasis to the ground.
That thinking aligns with how many of our best sportsbooks are setting his passing attempts prop. The line sits at 35.5 nearly across the board, with the 34.5 from bet365 the only exception. While the latter route is tempting due to the +100 price, swallow the juice for the larger cushion in case the Texans face a negative game script as 9.5-point underdogs.
Projections favor the Under on 35.5, with the highest among five models sitting at 34 attempts through NumberFire.
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The same weather-related thinking applies even more so here because hacking away on the ground is a tendency deep within the soul of the Ravens, even on a blissfully sunny afternoon.
They led the league in per-game rushing yardage, and it wasn't close. The Ravens finished with 156.5 yards per outing, while the second-place Chicago Bears ended up with 141.1. Employing a frighteningly athletic quarterback in Lamar Jackson is clearly a factor in that equation. But Gus Edwards still played a critical role, and that should continue on Saturday.
Edwards finished 15th during the regular season with six 20-plus-yard runs. That's more than respectable considering the time share in the Ravens' backfield for much of the campaign, with Keaton Mitchell taking on a heavy role before his season-ending injury.
The tailback has been achieving more success recently while being utilized as a bowling ball deep in the red zone. But there's some burst in Edwards' game, and as our C Jackson Cowart noted in his NFL Divisional Round player prop picks, the elements outside should lead to a high-volume rushing day for Edwards and more opportunities to accumulate yards.
Our best sports betting sites are nearly at a consensus regarding Edwards' total here. FanDuel is alone while still offering 51.5 yards, and at a -114 price that's only slightly more juiced than the 52.5 through bet365. Both numbers are comfortably below the 57.8 yards projection from NumberFire.
You have permission to throw yourself at this outlier price from FanDuel.
That shop is on an island among our best live betting sites while offering an Edwards touchdown at +120. He's as short as -105 through BetMGM and +105 at DraftKings.
FanDuel's price comes with an implied probability of 45.5%. Meanwhile, the industry-leading trading team at Pinnacle is setting Edwards' touchdown odds at +107, leading to an implied probability of 48.3%.
This outcome is yet again clearly correlated with a blustery day, and an already run-oriented team leaning further into the true engine of its offense that finished fourth leaguewide while averaging 28.4 points per game.
Edwards contributed significantly to that point produ ction en route to tying for fifth leaguewide with 13 rushing touchdowns. He's sizzling too after scoring in three of his final four games to end the regular season, a campaign that also featured three multi-score efforts. His season included a five-game stretch with nine touchdowns as well.
Texans-Ravens player props made 1/19/24 at 11:27 a.m. ET.
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