Bills vs. Steelers best bets, picks and props | Wild Card Round
Bills vs. Steelers best bets, picks and props | Wild Card Round

The Buffalo Bills (11-6) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) at Highmark Stadium in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs, with best bets available, on Monday, January 15, 2024.

How to watch Bills vs. Steelers

  • When: Monday, January 15, 2024 at 4:30 PM ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
  • TV Info: CBS
  • Live Stream: Watch on Fubo!

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Best against the spread pick

  • Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (+10)
  • Buffalo has a 7-9-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 10 points or more in four chances.
  • In Pittsburgh’s 17 games this year, it has 10 wins against the spread.

Best over/under pick

  • The Steelers have played eight games this season that finished with a combined score over 38.5 points.
  • These teams score 44.4 points per game combined, 5.9 more than this game’s total.
  • Opponents of these two teams average 37.4 points per game combined, 1.1 fewer than this matchup’s total.

Best moneyline bet

  • Moneyline: Bills (-550), Steelers (+400)
  • Prediction:
    Buffalo 25 – Pittsburgh 16
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Bills have an implied win probability of 84.6%.
  • Buffalo has won 71.4% of the games this season when it was favored on the moneyline (10-4).
  • The Bills have won all three games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -550 or shorter.
  • Pittsburgh has won six of the 10 games it has played as an underdog this season.
  • The Steelers have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +400 odds on them winning this game.

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