Our Washington State vs. USC prediction based on the best college basketball odds expects a defensive battle when Bronny James and Co. welcome the Cougars for a late-night conference matchup.
After back-to-back wins, the USC Trojans are above .500 with an overall record of 8-7. This team entered the year ranked in the top 25 by the advanced metrics and had plenty of buzz with freshman Bronny James on the roster. James has scored in double figures in two of his last three games and appears to be getting his legs under him after starting the season sidelined.
Washington State (10-5) comes to town after suffering an 89-84 loss to the Oregon Ducks last time out. With the Trojans favored by two possessions, can James and Co. take care of business at home in Wednesday's Pac-12 battle?
Here is our best Washington State vs. USC prediction and our college basketbal l picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Washington State vs. USC prediction
No player props are available for Bronny James as of Wednesday morning, which is a bummer after we cashed the Over on his points prop just a week ago. But there is value in the total, as we are buying an Under that has dropped 1.5 points since betting lines were released.
USC has been more of an Over team this year, clearing the closing point total a dozen times through 15 games. But the market might have adjusted too much, as Washington State has typically been more of an Under squad.
ShotQuality projects this final score to be 10 points lower than this mark, which speaks to the regression coming for both teams. Both squads should be shooting 5% worse on shots at the rim based on ShotQuality's metrics.
Washington State, i n particular, hasn't had good offensive process to this point. The Cougars rank 145h in adjusted ShotQuality on the offensive end, as they are 258th in spacing and 260th in shot selection. Their free-throw percentage of 68.2% ranks 283rd in the country, so even the freebies are difficult.
WSU ranks 280th in pace and will attempt to slow this game down on the road. Andy Enfield's Trojans prefer to play at a higher tempo, but that's reflected in the total. We haven't seen a betting total in the 140s between these two teams since 2020, and we believe this is too much of an adjustment.
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Washington State vs. USC best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 147 | Under 146.5 | Under 146.5 | Under 147 | Under 147 |
| -110 | -104 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
Three of our five best sports betting apps are offering a total of 147 as of this writing. We chose to play this at DraftKings due to the same-game parlay possibilities, particularly since it is a shop that offers a variety of player prop markets. That is where you should keep an eye out for any props related to James ahead of tipoff.
Washington State vs. USC odds
Washington State vs. USC odds analysis
The market appears to believe the the Trojans will win with their defense against Washington State. The spread opened at USC -6, and has since moved to -6.5 or -7 across our best sports betting sites. The total opened as high as 148.5 before settling on its current mark of 147.
So far this season, Washington State is just 5-10 against the spread with an 8-7 record to the Under. USC has been an Over machine, clearing the c losing point total in 12 of its 15 games to go along with a 7-8 ATS clip.
Washington State vs. USC game info
- When: Wednesday, Jan. 10 at 10:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Galen Center, Los Angeles, CA
- How to watch: Fox Sports
Washington State-USC prediction made Wednesday at 11:55 a.m. ET.
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