The Green Bay Packers (9-8) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (10-7) on Jan. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Arlington, TX.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Packers vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Cowboys Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this playoff game game with 71.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 60.4% confidence.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.45 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+9.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+9.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.60 Units / 60% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI).
- Packers are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 10.88% ROI
- Packers are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
- Packers are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 10-7 (+2.3 Units / 12.23% ROI).
- Cowboys are 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 2.55% ROI
- Cowboys are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Packers are 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Packers are 3-2 (.600) when not forcing a turnover this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Packers are 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Packers are 6-2 (.750) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 128.9 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are 15-4 (.789) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — 7th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 134.7 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception this season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Packers have intercepted 7 passes this season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Cowboys are 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .594.