The Cleveland Browns (10-6) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (9-8) on Jan. 13. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Houston, TX.
The Browns are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Browns vs. Texans Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Texans Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this playoff game game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 73.7% confidence.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.55 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Elijah Moore has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Kareem Hunt has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+5.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 10-6 (+3.45 Units / 18.35% ROI).
- Browns are 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 28.79% ROI
- Browns are 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 18.18% ROI
- Browns are 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 9-8 (+0.1 Units / 0.53% ROI).
- Texans are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 22.98% ROI
- Texans are 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
- Texans are 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Browns are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Browns are 3-1 (.750) after a loss this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Browns are 8-1 (.889) at home this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Browns are 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Texans are 10-5 (.667) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 38 times this season — most in NFL.
The Texans are winless (0-5) vs top 10 defenses this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Texans are winless (0-9) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Texans are 6-2 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble this season — T-10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .624.