The San Francisco 49ers (8-7) visit FedEx Field to take on the Washington Commanders (6-8) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Landover, MD.
The 49ers are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The 49ers vs. Commanders Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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49ers vs. Commanders Prediction
The winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this Week 17 game with 79.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.
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Best 49ers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for 49ers players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jauan Jennings has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Christian McCaffrey has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 57% ROI)
- Deebo Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Commanders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers went 8-6 (+1.5 Units / 9.2% ROI).
- 49ers are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -2.52% ROI
- 49ers are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI
- 49ers are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 6-8 (-2.75 Units / -16.67% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.8 Units / -48.98% ROI
- Commanders are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Commanders are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Commanders have turned the ball over 26 times this season — 5th-most in NFL.
The 49ers are winless (0-4) when scoring less than 22 points this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .253.
The 49ers are 21-5 (.808) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders have turned the ball over 52 times since the 2022 season — T-3rd-most in NFL.
The 49ers are 9-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — T-best in NFL. The Commanders have intercepted 7 passes this season — T-3rd-fewest in NFL.
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Commanders are 2-9 (.182) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — 9th-worst in NFL. The 49ers have intercepted 19 passes this season — most in NFL.
The Commanders are winless (0-8) after a road win since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .452.
The Commanders are 1-6 (.143) when playing in cold weather this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns since Week 13 — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .509.