Lions vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 17
Lions vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 17

The Detroit Lions (10-5) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (9-6) on Dec. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Arlington, TX.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Lions vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 53.5 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 17 game with 72.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 76.6% confidence.


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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Dak Prescott has hit the Completions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)

  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)

  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in their last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.19% ROI).

  • Lions are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 8.71% ROI
  • Lions are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Lions are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 9-6 (+2.4 Units / 14.46% ROI).

  • Cowboys are 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.33% ROI
  • Cowboys are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • Cowboys are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Lions are undefeated (4-0) after a loss this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .481.

The Lions are undefeated (5-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .533.

The Lions are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Lions are 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .541.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys are 10-1 (.909) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .498.

The Cowboys are 14-4 (.778) when passing for 250 or more yards since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Lions have allowed 240.4 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys are 6-1 (.857) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .452.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys

  
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