Jets vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 17
Jets vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 17

The New York Jets (5-9) visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (9-5) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The Browns are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Jets vs. Browns Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Browns Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 17 game with 75.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 84.4% confidence.


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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Harrison Bryant has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 67% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Jets

Player Name Over Under
Tyler Conklin 25.5 -110 25.5 -120
Garrett Wilson 45.5 -115 45.5 -115
Elijah Moore 30.5 -110 30.5 -120
Breece Hall 31.5 -120 31.5 -110
Amari Cooper 55.5 -120 55.5 -115

  • The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+8.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 22% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 5-9 (-4.7 Units / -29.01% ROI).

  • Jets are 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -4.89% ROI
  • Jets are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Jets are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 21.02% ROI).

  • Browns are 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 33.73% ROI
  • Browns are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI
  • Browns are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Jets are 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.

The Jets are 4-1 (.800) vs bottom 10 pass defenses this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .513.

The Jets are winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.

The Jets are 4-7 (.364) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .499.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Browns are 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .270.

The Browns are 7-2 (.778) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .501.

The Browns are 7-1 (.875) at home this season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .562.

The Browns are 2-4 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .416.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns

  
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