The slumping Philadelphia Eagles play host to the rival New York Giants on Christmas Day as we look at our Eagles-Giants prediction based on the best NFL odds from the best sports betting apps.
The Philadelphia Eagles' pass defense has been spreading plenty of holiday cheer for opposing quarterbacks recently. That's been the only real weakness for a team with Super Bowl aspirations during its three-game losing streak, which includes blowout defeats to the San Francisco 49ers (42-19) and Dallas Cowboys (33-13).
Meanwhile, the New York Giants have surely already turned their attention to 2024, and they'll continue to see what Tommy DeVito can provide as a potential starting (but likely backup) quarterback down the stretch.
The newest Italian-American NFL hero fell flat in Week 15, but now he gets a prime rebound opportunity.
In addition to our NFL Christmas Day predictions and Giants vs. Eagles player props, here is our best Giants-Eagles prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Giants vs. Eagles prediction: Christmas Day
It's understandable to be hesitant here, and a little jittery as your finger reaches to hit the Over on anything involving DeVito and passing yards.
Sure, DeVito is the perfect story for those who are very online as he graces a pizzeria for free, hangs out with Snooki, and files several glorious nickname trademarks. But DeVito mania endured a serious setback during a blowout loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 15 when he averaged a meager 5.2 yards per completion.
This standout performance took place against a formidable defensive unit, considering the Saints' seventh-place rankin g in the league, allowing an average of merely 194.7 passing yards per game. However, the Eagles' defense currently sits at 28th in the rankings, grappling with challenges as they've been conceding an average of 255.4 passing yards per game, signifying a notable disparity in defensive strength between the two teams.
The Eagles have faced two NFL MVP contenders during their current three-game losing streak, with Dak Prescott and Brock Purdy bombarding them. But the quality of the opponent decreased dramatically during Week 15 against Drew Lock, who made key late-game throws to seal a 20-17 upset win for the Seattle Seahawks, all despite logging just his fifth start since 2020.
The Eagles have coughed up 264.3 passing yards per game during their three-contest slide, which is the first ingredient that leads to optimism DeVito can clear the low passing yards total that four of our best sportsbooks are featuring.
The next is that in the limited sample size of games during the rookie's career so far, DeVito has experienced success against similarly poor secondaries. He posted 246 passing yards against the last-ranked Washington Commanders, and 191 yards while facing the New England Patriots and their middling pass defense (16th).
Even during a dud against the Saints he still flirted with hitting the Over on his Week 16 passing line while finishing with 177 yards. The Giants are highly likely to face a negative game script again as nearly two-touchdown underdogs to the Eagles, meaning DeVito will be throwing plenty against an increasingly weak passing defense.
Factor in all of that, and it's easy to see why a handful of projection models are sitting around 190 yards and favoring DeVito hitting the Over here. ESPN is even way high up while projecting 242 yards.
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Giants vs. Eagles best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 184.5 | Over 182.5 | N/A | Over 184.5 | Over 184.5 |
| -115 | -114 | N/A | -117 | -110 |
Four of our best sports betting sites are offering a DeVito passing yards prop. There's nothing wrong with taking the more conservative path and rolling with FanDuel's outlier lower number.
But given the appeal of the matchup and the projections that favor a higher passing total, we're sacrificing the two yards for the better price at bet365.
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Giants vs. Eagles odds
Giants vs. Eagles odds analysis
There's been notable movement at the best sports betting s ites . The spread opened at generally -11.5 in favor of the Eagles at our best live betting sites. It now sits at a whopping -13.5 across the board.
That movement contrasts with the total, which has remained relatively steady. It sat at 43.5 earlier in the week before dipping to 42.5, and the number has now evened out to 43.
Giants vs. Eagles game info
- When: Monday, Dec. 25 at 4:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
- How to watch: Fox
- Weather: 52 degrees with a 30% chance of precipitation, and light 4-mph easterly winds
Giants-Eagles prediction made 12/22/2023 at 9:42 a.m. ET.
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