The Los Angeles Rams host the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football in a star-studded NFC duel to kick off Week 16, and we have you covered with our top Saints vs. Rams NFL player props for Thursday Night Football based on the best TNF odds.
Entering Week 16, the New Orleans Saints (7-7) and Los Angeles Rams (7-7) hold reasonable hopes of securing a spot in the NFC playoff field. Each team possesses the star power to achieve a crucial victory on Thursday Night Football, marking the kickoff of the Week 16 slate.
Relying on quarterback Matthew Stafford and running back Kyren Williams, the Rams have powered through a 4-1 run in their last five contests. Meanwhile, facing injuries to their top wideouts, the Saints may find themselves leaning on Alvin Kamara even more than usual, employing him in various roles.
In addition to our Saints vs. Rams predictions and as part of our Week 16 NFL predictions, here are our best Saints vs. Rams NFL player props for Thursday Night Football (NFL odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Saints vs. Rams NFL player props: Thursday Night Football
If you haven't been following Williams' rise among the ranks of the NFL's elite tailbacks, take a seat on Thursday and get your popcorn ready.
Williams may be relatively new to the scene, but the second-year back is no fluke. Through 15 weeks, the former Notre Dame star leads all running backs in yards per game (95.3) and success rate (59.7%), and he ranks second in yards before contact (617) and third in broken tackles (20) despite missing four games.
He's averaging a ridiculous 131 yards over his last f ive games, clearing this total by 25-plus yards in four of them and finishing with exactly 88 yards in the other. That came against the league's No. 1 overall defense in Cleveland – one week before he torched the No. 2 defense in Baltimore for 114 yards.
Now he faces a Saints defense that has long prided itself on stopping the run but has been brutally inconsistent this year. New Orleans held Saquon Barkley to his fourth-lowest total ever (14 yards) in last week's blowout win, though a negative game script led to the New York Giants back seeing the fifth-fewest rushes (nine) and ninth-fewest snaps (31) of his career.
Prior to that, the Saints had surrendered at least 113 rushing yards in eight straight games, and they've allowed the NFL's second-most rushing yards per game (154.1) and per carry (5.0) since Week 6. Williams has seen 73 of his team's 89 handoffs over the last three weeks, so he'll be well-positioned to take advantage on Thursday.
This prop is also dealing a yard higher at FanDuel and with a worse price at BetMGM (-115), Caesars (-123), and DraftKings (-125), which makes these odds at bet365 all the more appealing as an outlier among our best sports betting sites.
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Stafford fell below this mark in eight of his first nine starts, but he's played like one of the NFL's best quarterbacks over the past month. Fittingly, his touchdown production has finally returned to form.
Since Week 12, Stafford has led the league in passing TDs (12), and he's finished with multiple passing scores in all four contests. He also ranks in the top five in passing yards (265 YPG) and big-time throws (nine) in that s tretch, and he slots second among starters in passer rating (112.6) behind only NFL MVP odds favorite Brock Purdy over those four weeks.
Everything seems to be clicking for Stafford down the stretch, and I don't see that changing against the Saints, who have feasted on a diet of below-average passers. The best QBs on their schedule have found the holes in this New Orleans secondary, and I'd expect Stafford to do the same.
Almost every projection model has Stafford between 1.65 and 1.80 passing TDs, so we'll comfortably lay the -125 odds with bet365, as the rest of our best live betting sites deal this prop anywhere from -135 to -160.
Our Shane Jackson discusses more plays in his Matthew Stafford player props.
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I wasn't originally intending to bet three Overs for this game, which carries a modest betting total between 45.5 and 46.5 across our best sports betting apps. Then I saw this prop total and nearly spit out my drink.
The fine folks at FanDuel are often the outliers in the player props market, and they're offering Kamara's receiving total a full three yards lower than market consensus across our best sportsbooks. That's to say nothing of the fact that Kamara leads all running backs in receiving yards per game (40.5) and has easily cleared this total in nine of 11 starts (81.8%).
The only knock against this bet is that Los Angeles is allowing the fewest receiving yards to opposing running backs (20.3), which is surely the reason we're catching such a low total. Still, I don't expect the Saints to use Kamara strictly as a running back with wideouts Chris Olave (ankle) and Michael Thomas (knee) both on the mend.
Last week, Kamara led the team in receiving yards (44) for the second time in his last eight games, totaling at least 40 yards in six of them. This will be his toughest matchup of the year, but he should get plenty of opportunities to cash this ticket.
Saints-Rams player props for Thursday Night Football made Wednesday at 2:10 a.m. ET
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