Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois (NIU) Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-23-2023
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois (NIU) Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 12-23-2023

College bowl season is in full swing and that brings us a clash of mid-major programs when a program from the Sun Belt takes on one from the Mid-American Conference. The Arkansas State Red Wolves do battle with the Northern Illinois Huskies in the Camellia Bowl Saturday afternoon. Arkansas State ended their regular season with a 35-21 road loss to Marshall on November 25, failing to cover the line as a 1.5-point underdog. Northern Illinois finished their regular season slate with a 37-27 road win over Kent State on November 25 though they failed to cover the line as a 19.5-point favorite in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the teams, the Huskies own a 7-1 advantage and have won the last two meetings. That includes a 38-20 victory in the most recent meeting, which took place in the GoDaddy.com Bowl in Mobile, Alabama on January 8, 2012.

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Arkansas State was dropped on the road by Marshall in their regular season finale to end the year on a down note. The Red Wolves enter the bowl game 6-6 on the season and stood tied for second in the West Division of the Sun Belt with a 4-4 conference mark. Against Marshall, Arkansas State started slowly and it ended up costing them the game. The Red Wolves trailed 14-0 after the opening quarter and were down 28-0 late in the second quarter before getting on the board. Arkansas State trailed 28-7 at intermission, 35-14 after three quarters and got no closer than the final margin. The Red Wolves were outgained 493-305 in total offense, gave up 23 first downs while picking up 20 and lost time of possession by a 36:56 to 23:04 margin. Both teams turned the ball over twice though the Red Wolves did score on a punt return.

For the year, the Red Wolves are 64th in the nation in passing offense with 224 yards per contest through the air and 75th in rushing offense with 151.5 yards per contest on the ground. Arkansas State is 62nd in the FBS in scoring offense with 27.8 points per contest while they are 107th of 133 FBS teams in scoring defense by allowing 31.2 points per game. J.T. Shrout is 24 of 51 passing for 227 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions. Jaxon Dailey is 17 of 33 for 137 yards with seven rushing yards while Jalen Raynor (150 of 255, 2300 yards, 15 TD, six INT, 324 rushing yards, five TD) and Wyatt Beagle (one of one, 24 yards) have also seen action. Ja’Quez Cross leads the team on the ground with 120 carries for 688 yards and seven scores. Zak Wallace (121 carries, 556 yards, six TD) and Cedric Hawkins (30 carries, 151 yards, two TD) are secondary options in the run game. Courtney Jackson (38 catches, 658 yards, seven TD), Corey Rucker (31 grabs, 598 yards), Reagan Ealy (18 catches, 189 yards, TD), Jeff Forem an (25 grabs, 521 yards, four TD) and tight end Emmanual Stevenson (18 receptions, 129 yards, two TD) are each solid pass catching options. Dominic Zvada has hit all 40 extra point attempts and 15 of 20 field goal attempts with a long of 53 this season.

Shrout (ankle) last played on September 9 against Memphis and is out indefinitely. Stevenson (leg) last played on October 28 against Louisiana-Monroe and is done for the year.

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