The Dallas Cowboys (9-5) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (9-5) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Miami Gardens, FL.
The Dolphins are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Dolphins Over/Under is 51 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Dolphins Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 16 game with 51.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 77.9% confidence.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Dolphins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Dolphins players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jaylen Waddle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tua Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Dolphins Best Bets:
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Dolphins have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.58% ROI).
- Cowboys are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.34% ROI
- Cowboys are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Cowboys are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Dolphins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Dolphins went 9-5 (+3.45 Units / 22.19% ROI).
- Dolphins are 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -2.61% ROI
- Dolphins are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Dolphins are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Dolphins
The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys are 4-3 (.571) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .292.
The Cowboys are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 100 rushing yards this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .640.
The Cowboys are undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .561.
Miami Dolphins: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Dolphins are undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .632.
The Dolphins are 9-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
The Dolphins are 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .561.
The Dolphins are 6-1 (.857) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .720.