The Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6) visit Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Tampa, FL.
The Buccaneers are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-105).
The Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Buccaneers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 16 game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Buccaneers will cover the spread with 71.7% confidence.
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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Buccaneers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Buccaneers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Godwin has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Russell Gage has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Chris Godwin has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rachaad White has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+8.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+7.40 Units / 56% ROI)
Buccaneers Best Bets:
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have scored last in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 8-6 (+1.5 Units / 9.77% ROI).
- Jaguars are 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -13.05% ROI
- Jaguars are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jaguars are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / ROI
Buccaneers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Buccaneers went 9-5 (+3.65 Units / 24.09% ROI).
- Buccaneers are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 11.11% ROI
- Buccaneers are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Buccaneers are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Jaguars are 3-1 (.750) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are 6-1 (.857) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .610.
The Jaguars are 6-3 (.667) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .557.
The Jaguars are 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 22 points this season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .745.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Buccaneers are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .160.
The Buccaneers are winless (0-6) when rushing less than 25 times this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .292.
The Buccaneers are undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .636.
The Buccaneers are 1-5 (.167) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .369.