The Green Bay Packers (7-7) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the Carolina Panthers (3-9) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.
The Packers are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Packers vs. Panthers Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Panthers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 16 game with 66.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Panthers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Panthers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Terrace Marshall Jr. has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Longest Reception Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Chuba Hubbard has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have scored last in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 7-7 (-0.7 Units / -4.52% ROI).
- Packers are 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -3.42% ROI
- Packers are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Packers are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers went 3-9 (-7 Units / -45.6% ROI).
- Panthers are 2-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -65.71% ROI
- Panthers are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7.05 Units / -45.63% ROI
- Panthers are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.48% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Packers are winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.
The Packers are 3-8 (.273) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Packers are 2-7 (.222) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .358.
The Packers are 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Panthers are winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .369.
The Panthers are winless (0-9) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .410.
The Panthers are 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers are 2-12 (.143) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .506.