Commanders vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 15
Commanders vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 15

The Washington Commanders (5-7) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (7-5) on Dec. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Inglewood, CA.

The Rams are betting favorites in this Week 15 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Commanders vs. Rams Over/Under is 49 total points for the game.

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Commanders vs. Rams Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this Week 15 game with 70.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.


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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this Week 15 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cooper Kupp has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 5-7 (-2.7 Units / -18.75% ROI).

  • Commanders are 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -43.89% ROI
  • Commanders are 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
  • Commanders are 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / ROI

Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams went 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 3.51% ROI).

  • Rams are 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -4.99% ROI
  • Rams are 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • Rams are 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams

The Commanders are winless (0-7) after a road win since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

The Commanders are 1-8 (.111) when intercepting no passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .349.

The Commanders are winless (0-5) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.

The Commanders are 1-5 (.167) at home this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .557.

Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders

The Rams are 3-8 (.273) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .631.

  
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