We highlight our favorite player props ahead of Thursday Night Football as the Week 14 NFL slate gets underway, using the best NFL odds from our leading NFL prop betting sites when making our top NFL picks.
We've had a strong season with our NFL player props, and we'll look to stay hot in Week 14 with a pair of bets for Thursday Night Football.
The New England Patriots (2-10) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) have each struggled to find a rhythm offensively, and both teams will be deploying a backup quarterback on Thursday. However, as we detailed in our deep-dive feature on how to bet backup QBs, that doesn't necessarily mean you should automatically fade these offenses.
Beyond that, we have our eyes on the Sunday Night Football matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys, which could have massive implications in the Super Bowl o dds and NFL MVP odds markets.
This week also features two Monday Night Football games for the first time since Week 3, with the Green Bay Packers and New York Giants kicking off simultaneously with the Tennessee Titans and Miami Dolphins.
In addition to our NFL Week 14 predictions and our Patriots vs. Steelers NFL player props, here are our best NFL player props for Week 14 (odds via our
best NFL betting sites; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
NFL player props for Week 14
- Mitchell Trubisky longest completion Over 29.5 yards (-114 via FanDuel) ????
- George Pickens longest reception Over 17.5 yards (-114 via FanDuel) ????
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NFL player props for Week 14: Thursday Night Football
While Thursday's matchup is easily one of the worst in recent memory, I am absolutely in love with this prop bet – and not just because I'm a lifelong Trubisky truther. (Sort of.)
Sure, the former No. 2 pick was pretty awful in his first four years as a starter, but he's become a fairly proficient deep-ball thrower since moving to a reserve role. Trubisky was the second-highest graded quarterback on throws 20-plus yards downfield last season, per PFF, and his average depth of target (10.0) ranked fifth among passers with at least 100 attempts.
This year, he ranks sixth in average depth of target (9.7) among QBs with at least 40 att empts. That appears to be by design: Trubisky said earlier this week that he's “trying to be aggressive” to help spark a sputtering offense, while interim coordinator Eddie Faulkner hinted that he'll call more shot plays Thursday than he would with Kenny Pickett under center.
It all adds up to a compelling bet on Trubisky to complete a 30-yard pass, which he did seven times in nine appearances last season. The Patriots have also surrendered a completion of 30-plus yards in seven of 12 games this season, and they allowed a pass of at least 27 yards in each of the other five games.
This prop is dealing Over 30.5 for as short as -131 at Caesars. To get this bet at a lower number and a cheaper price at FanDuel feels too good to be true.
Our Andrew Brennan also has us covered with more Mitch Trubisky player props.
Much of the logic fueling our Trubisky bet is at play here with Pickens, who seems like a prime candidate to benefit from his QB's aggressive approach.
Since he entered the league in 2022, the former second-round pick has caught at least one pass of 20-plus yards in 19 of 29 games (65.5%). He's done that eight times in his 12 starts this season and ranks second among all receivers in yards per catch (17.0).
Pickens was targeted on the Steelers' first three pass plays on Sunday, which included a 38-yard catch on the opening drive. He also hauled in a 25-yard strike from Trubisky in the third quarter, and he was on the receiving end of Trubisky's longest completion (22 yards) in Week 8 when the backup QB started the entire second half in relief of Pickett.
I wouldn't mind betting Pickens to finish Over 38.5 receiving yards (-109 via Caesars), a total he's cleared in four of his last six games, but I'd much rather bet on the second-year wideout to make at least one big play as he's done all season long.
If you're looking for a prop bet Thursday at longer odds, I would also put a small wager on Pickens to record a catch of at least 30 yards (+320 via bet365), which he's done six times through his first 12 games.
More Week 14 player props
- Patriots vs. Steelers NFL player props
- Mitchell Trubisky NFL player props
- Bailey Zappe NFL player props
NFL betting odds pages
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