Texas vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sugar Bowl
Texas vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sugar Bowl

The Texas Longhorns (7-5) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the Washington Huskies (6-6) on Jan. 1 in New Orleans, LA in the College Football Playoff semifinal.

Texas is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Texas vs. Washington Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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Texas vs Washington Prediction, Sugar Bowl

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this bowl game with 64.4% confidence.

Texas vs Washington Spread Prediction, Sugar Bowl

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 56.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Washington, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

  • Washington has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+15.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Washington have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Washington have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today

  • Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jonathon Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Adonai Mitchell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Washington players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Washington Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ja’Lynn Polk has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Rome Odunze has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Michael Penix Jr. has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Dillon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jack Westover has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI).

  • Texas is 12-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 4.85% ROI
  • Texas is 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • Texas is 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI

Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Washington is 6-7 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -11.58% ROI).

  • Washington is 12-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.05 Units / 10.07% ROI
  • Washington is 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • Washington is 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Texas is 9-1 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

Texas is 23-9 (.719) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 25th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Texas is 13-3 (.650) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457

Texas is 18-2 (.900) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .634

Washington is 16-2 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .394

Washington is undefeated (14-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .560

Washington is undefeated (6-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .468

Washington is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .560

Washington has gained 4,126 yards on 299 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — tied for 19th-best among FBS skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

Washington’s TEs has 50 receptions in 12 games (4.2 per game) this season — third-best among Pac-12 TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — second-worst among Big 12 defenses.

  
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