The Alabama Crimson Tide (9-4) visit Rose Bowl to take on the Michigan Wolverines (7-5) on Jan. 1 in Pasadena, CA in the College Football Playoff semifinal.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Alabama vs. Michigan Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Alabama vs Michigan Prediction, Rose Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this bowl game with 53.8% confidence.
Alabama vs Michigan Spread Prediction, Rose Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 2% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.94 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 2% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 1% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jase McClellan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Donovan Edwards has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 9-4 against the spread this college football season (+4.6 Units / 32.06% ROI).
- Alabama is 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 1.49% ROI
- Alabama is 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 39.86% ROI
- Alabama is 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -48.25% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 10.84% ROI).
- Michigan is 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 1.47% ROI
- Michigan is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.18% ROI
- Michigan is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.55 Units / -3.86% ROI
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .496
Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496
Alabama is 14-2 (.824) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Alabama is undefeated (8-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .498
Michigan is 13-1 (.929) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .394
Michigan is 23-3 (.885) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .416
Michigan is 21-2 (.913) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .385
Michigan is 16-2 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .377
Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.0% of 315 attempts this season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 10.1% of attempts this season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.
Michigan’s TEs has gained 848 yards on 65 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among SEC defenses.