The Iowa Hawkeyes (6-6) visit Camping World Stadium to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (6-6) on Jan. 1 in Orlando, FL.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Iowa vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 35.5 total points.
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Iowa vs Tennessee Prediction, Citrus Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this bowl game with 75.6% confidence.
Iowa vs Tennessee Spread Prediction, Citrus Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Tennessee, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
- Seth Anderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Deacon Hill has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Erick All has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Tennessee players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tennessee Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joe Milton III has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Wright has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Joe Milton III has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 39% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.55 Units / -3.87% ROI).
- Iowa is 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 8.59% ROI
- Iowa is 2-11 when betting the Over for -10.1 Units / -70.63% ROI
- Iowa is 11-2 when betting the Under for +8.8 Units / 61.54% ROI
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Tennessee is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.63% ROI
- Tennessee is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
- Tennessee is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
Iowa is 8-1 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .388
Iowa is undefeated (8-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .627
Iowa is undefeated (7-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .498
Iowa is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .510
Tennessee is 16-1 (.941) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .568
Tennessee is 13-4 (.684) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .559
Tennessee is 9-6 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .404
Tennessee is 14-4 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .563
Tennessee’s RBs has 46 receptions in 12 games (3.8 per game) this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS RBs. Iowa’s defense has allowed 19.5 receptions per game this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Tennessee’s RBs has rushed for 2,073 yards on 343 carries (6.0 YPC) this season — tied for ninth-best among FBS RBs. Iowa’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC to RBs this season — tied for eighth-best among FBS defenses.