The Ole Miss Rebels (6-4) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (9-3) on Dec. 30 in Atlanta, GA.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Ole Miss vs. Penn State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Ole Miss vs Penn State Prediction, Peach Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this bowl game with 56.9% confidence.
Ole Miss vs Penn State Spread Prediction, Peach Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Ole Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ole Miss players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ole Miss Player Prop Bets Today
- Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dayton Wade has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Watkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Caden Prieskorn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ole Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Mississippi is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 12.21% ROI).
- Ole Miss is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 11.75% ROI
- Ole Miss is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Ole Miss is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 9-3 against the spread this college football season (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Penn State is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 3.08% ROI
- Penn State is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Penn State is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Ole Miss is winless (0-5) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .285
Ole Miss is winless (0-3) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338
Ole Miss is 10-4 (.714) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 36th-best in FBS; Average: .573
Ole Miss is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .474
Penn State is 9-1 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415
Penn State is 22-2 (.880) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .574
Penn State is undefeated (15-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .559
Penn State is 19-2 (.905) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .568
Penn State’s TEs has averaged 8.2 targets per game this season — tied for fifth-highest among FBS TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 4.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — tied for ninth-worst among FBS defenses.
Penn State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 372 attempts this season — seventh-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts this season — tied for second-best among SEC defenses.