The SMU Mustangs (8-5) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston College Eagles (4-8) on Dec. 28 in Boston, MA.
SMU is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The SMU vs. Boston College Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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SMU vs Boston College Prediction, Fenway Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this bowl game with 75.0% confidence.
SMU vs Boston College Spread Prediction, Fenway Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Boston College, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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SMU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Boston College Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.05 Units / 98% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Boston College has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for SMU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best SMU Player Prop Bets Today
- Preston Stone has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jordan Kerley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Preston Stone has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Preston Stone has hit the TD Passes Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jaylan Knighton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joseph Griffin Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Pat Garwo III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU is 8-5 against the spread this college football season (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).
- SMU is 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 7.83% ROI
- SMU is 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- SMU is 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boston College is 4-8 against the spread this college football season (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Boston College is 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -5.68% ROI
- Boston College is 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.02% ROI
- Boston College is 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.85 Units / -52.09% ROI
SMU is undefeated (6-0) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .498
SMU is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .405
SMU is winless (0-1) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .209
SMU is 9-1 (.900) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .416
Boston College is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496
Boston College is 4-18 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413
Boston College is 5-19 (.208) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .399
Boston College is 4-12 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.4% of 314 attempts this season — 27th-best among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts this season — tied for 31st-worst among FBS defenses.
Boston College’s TEs has gained 244 yards on 19 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — tied for fifth-best among ACC TEs. SMU’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.