The North Carolina Tar Heels (6-6) visit Bank of America Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers (7-5) on Dec. 27 in Charlotte, NC.
West Virginia is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs West Virginia Prediction, Duke’s Mayo Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts West Virginia will win this bowl game with 62.8% confidence.
North Carolina vs West Virginia Spread Prediction, Duke’s Mayo Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and West Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for North Carolina players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best North Carolina Player Prop Bets Today
- Omarion Hampton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nate McCollum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Devontez Walker has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+1.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Kole Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.65 Units / -4.92% ROI).
- North Carolina is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.65 Units / -38.93% ROI
- North Carolina is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
- North Carolina is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 12.21% ROI).
- West Virginia is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 34.56% ROI
- West Virginia is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- West Virginia is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
North Carolina is 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 16th-best in FBS; Average: .566
North Carolina was 2-4 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
North Carolina is 10-2 (.833) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .474
North Carolina is 9-5 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 27th-best in FBS; Average: .453
West Virginia was winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459
West Virginia is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .566
West Virginia is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
West Virginia is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .433
West Virginia’s WRs has gained 1,818 yards on 113 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — tied for second-best among Big 12 WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.
West Virginia has gained 2,446 yards on 166 receptions (14.7 YPR) this season — tied for seventh-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.