The Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5) visit Cramton Bowl to take on the Northern Illinois Huskies (5-7) on Dec. 23 in Montgomery, AL.
Arkansas St is a betting favorite in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois Prediction, Camellia Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this bowl game with 53.1% confidence.
Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois Spread Prediction, Camellia Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas St and N Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Arkansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Northern Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northern Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northern Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rocky Lombardi has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Antario Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 3.76% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 16.96% ROI
- Arkansas State is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Arkansas State is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
N Illinois is 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.7 Units / -20.53% ROI).
- Northern Illinois is 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -11.68% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Northern Illinois is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arkansas State is winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .338
Arkansas State is winless (0-9) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .391
Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .320
Arkansas State is winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .399
Northern Illinois is winless (0-1) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .230
Northern Illinois is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– tied for 27th-worst in FBS; Average: .433
Northern Illinois is 2-6 (.250) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– tied for 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
Northern Illinois was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 2,235 passing yards in 12 games (just 186.2 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 258.2 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 2,221 passing yards in 12 games (just 185.1 YPG) this season — 27th-worst among FBS teams. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 258.2 passing yards per game this season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.