UCLA vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – LA Bowl
UCLA vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – LA Bowl

The UCLA Bruins (5-7) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos (7-4) on Dec. 16 in Inglewood, CA.

UCLA is a betting favorite in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The UCLA vs. Boise State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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UCLA vs Boise State Prediction, LA Bowl

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this bowl game with 59.3% confidence.

UCLA vs Boise State Spread Prediction, LA Bowl

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and Boise St, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.15 Units / 14% ROI)

  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today

  • Logan Loya has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Carson Steele has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Kyle Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boise State Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylen Green has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Taylen Green has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Eric McAlister has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taylen Green has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI).

  • UCLA is 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -15.7% ROI
  • UCLA is 1-10 when betting the Over for -10 Units / -82.64% ROI
  • UCLA is 10-1 when betting the Under for +8.9 Units / 73.55% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.55 Units / 10.88% ROI).

  • Boise State is 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.64% ROI
  • Boise State is 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • Boise State is 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI

UCLA is winless (0-2) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .285

UCLA is winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .402

UCLA is winless (0-5) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

UCLA is 21-12 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 34th-best in FBS; Average: .498

Boise State is 19-3 (.792) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .474

Boise State is winless (0-2) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .224

Boise State is 18-4 (.667) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .433

Boise State was undefeated (7-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .430

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 325 attempts this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.3% of attempts this season — tied for 24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 325 attempts this season — 20th-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.3% of attempts this season — second-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

  
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