The Denver Broncos (4-7) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (5-7) on Dec. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this Week 14 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (+100).
The Broncos vs. Chargers Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Broncos vs. Chargers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chargers will win this Week 14 game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chargers will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
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Best Broncos Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Broncos players this Week 14 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Chargers vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 57.5 -120 | 57.5 -110 |
| Javonte Williams | 18.5 -115 | 18.5 -115 |
| Jalen Guyton | 17.5 -110 | 17.5 -120 |
| Gerald Everett | 30.5 -115 | 30.5 -115 |
| Quentin Johnston | 28.5 -115 | 28.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Chargers vs Broncos
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Russell Wilson | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
| Austin Ekeler | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -120 |
| Justin Herbert | 17.5 -120 | 17.5 -110 |
| Javonte Williams | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -115 |
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored first in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 4-7 (-3.7 Units / -27.82% ROI).
- Broncos are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 11.97% ROI
- Broncos are 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Broncos are 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers went 5-7 (-2.7 Units / -20.3% ROI).
- Chargers are 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -16.98% ROI
- Chargers are 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Chargers are 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Broncos are 5-1 (.833) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .623.
The Broncos are 2-11 (.154) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .437.
The Broncos are winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Broncos are winless (0-5) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .118.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Chargers are 2-1 (.667) after a win this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .509.
The Chargers are winless (0-5) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .232.
The Chargers are 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Chargers are 2-4 (.333) at home this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .553.