The Green Bay Packers (7-5) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (4-7) on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Packers are betting favorites in this Week 14 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Packers vs. Giants Over/Under is 37 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Giants Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 14 game with 70.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 57.6% confidence.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 14 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Daniel Bellinger has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored last in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 11.28% ROI).
- Packers are 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 29.39% ROI
- Packers are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Packers are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants went 4-7 (-3.6 Units / -27.59% ROI).
- Giants are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -5.66% ROI
- Giants are 3-9 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Giants are 9-3 when betting the Under for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Packers are 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 141.4 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
The Packers are 3-6 (.333) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .461.
The Packers are 2-5 (.286) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .412.
The Packers are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Giants are undefeated (3-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
The Giants are undefeated (3-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .585.
The Giants are 4-8 (.333) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .504.
The Giants are 3-7 (.300) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .438.