The Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4) visit Cleveland Browns Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (6-5) on Dec. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.
The Browns are betting favorites in this Week 14 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Browns Over/Under is 31.5 total points for the game.
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Jaguars vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 14 game with 51.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 78.1% confidence.
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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this Week 14 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+11.05 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 away games (+10.35 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.05 Units / 75% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 8-4 (+3.7 Units / 28.14% ROI).
- Jaguars are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -5.82% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jaguars are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 3.77% ROI).
- Browns are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 26.46% ROI
- Browns are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
- Browns are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Browns have turned the ball over 23 times this season — tied for most in NFL.
The Jaguars are undefeated (8-0) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .768.
The Jaguars are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 run offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .358.
The Jaguars are 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Browns are 4-2 (.667) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Browns are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .639.
The Browns are undefeated (5-0) when leading at the end of the first half this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .768.
The Browns are 5-2 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.