The Houston Texans (6-6) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (4-7) on Dec. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Texans are betting favorites in this Week 14 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Jets Over/Under is 33 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Jets Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Texans will win this Week 14 game with 70.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this Week 14 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+15.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 away games (+9.15 Units / 106% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+0.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 6-6 (-0.6 Units / -4.48% ROI).
- Texans are 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 29.35% ROI
- Texans are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Texans are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 4-7 (-3.5 Units / -26.92% ROI).
- Jets are 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -18.43% ROI
- Jets are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Jets are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Texans are 7-4 (.636) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .539.
The Texans are 4-1 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .623.
The Texans are 4-1 (.800) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .597.
The Texans are 1-9 (.100) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .498.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Jets are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — third-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed an average of 140.4 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-worst in NFL.
The Jets are winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .428.
The Jets are 3-12 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — sixth-worst in NFL. The Texans have intercepted 27 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fifth-most in NFL.
The Jets are 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .418.