Week 13 of the NFL season is upon us, and the action is beginning to heat up as we prepare to enter the home straight. Games matter a lot more now with potential playoff and draft implications on the line, and all of that is a recipe for some seriously entertaining football this weekend. Lucky for you, our experts have been crunching the numbers and doing their analysis, and they have come up with'3 NFL best bets for you to consider for Sunday&# 8217;s action. Our NFL handicappers boast a 37-28 record with their 3-star best bets this season, which is good for nearly 15 units of profit! You can read our NFL picks for every single game this week, but for now, let’s dive into our Week 13 best bets.
Andrew Ortenberg: Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders Over 49.5 (-110)
I like the over in this game, as I'm not expecting much from either defense. For starters, Miami's offense has the highest ceiling of any team in the league, and they're getting to face a unit that has been getting torched so bad they had to fire their DC mid-season. The Commanders traded away both Chase Young and Montez Sweat at the trade deadline, completely neutralizing their one defensive strength which was in the trenches. Washington has given up at least 29 points in eight of their last 11 games, including to some offenses with nowhere near as much talent as Miami.
Nobody can slow down Tyreek Hill, and especially not this abysmal Commanders secondary. Tua Tagovailoa just averaged over 8 yards per attempt while the team scored 34 points in a win against an elite Jets defense that had Sauce Gardner matched up on Hill, so I think they'll be just fine here. In five of the Dolphins' past six wins they've scored at least 31+ points, so I also think this play correlates nicely with our Dolphins -9.5 spread bet.
Be sure to check out our full Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders predictions