Appalachian State vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sun Belt Championship
Appalachian State vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – Sun Belt Championship

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4) visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans (10-2) on Dec. 2 in Troy.

Troy is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Appalachian State vs. Troy Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Appalachian State vs Troy Prediction for Sun Belt Championship

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 68.2% confidence.

Appalachian State vs Troy Spread Prediction for Sun Belt Championship

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Appalachian State and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+7.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.55 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.75 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)

  • Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Appalachian State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Appalachian State players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kaedin Robinson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Joey Aguilar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nate Noel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Christan Horn has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Joey Aguilar has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Troy Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Troy players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gunnar Watson has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Chris Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Gunnar Watson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jabre Barber has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Deshon Stoudemire has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Appalachian State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Appalachian State is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI).

  • Appalachian State is 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 8.7% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Appalachian State is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Troy is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.45% ROI).

  • Troy is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 12.94% ROI
  • Troy is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • Troy is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Appalachian State is winless (0-5) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .130

Appalachian State was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .288

Appalachian State is 17-8 (.680) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 36th-best in FBS; Average: .566

Appalachian State is 6-2 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays this season– tied for 12th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .471

Troy is undefeated (16-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .471

Troy is undefeated (17-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

Troy is undefeated (17-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

Troy is undefeated (8-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .513

Troy’s WRs has gained 2,311 yards on 158 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — 31st-best among FBS WRs. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.

Troy has gained 2,887 yards on 215 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — tied for 24th-best among FBS skill players. Appalachian State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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