The Boise State Broncos (3-9) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (9-3) on Dec. 2 in Las Vegas.
Boise State is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Boise St vs. UNLV Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Boise St vs UNLV Prediction for Mountain West Championship
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 54.3% confidence.
Boise St vs UNLV Spread Prediction for Mountain West Championship
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 75.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Boise St Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boise State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Boise St Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise St players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylen Green has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Taylen Green has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- George Holani has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Billy Bowens has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Taylen Green has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Best UNLV Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UNLV players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- no trends found
Boise St Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise St is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 4.18% ROI).
- Boise St is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Boise St is 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Boise St is 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 10-2 against the spread this college football season (+7.75 Units / 58.49% ROI).
- UNLV is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 27.18% ROI
- UNLV is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 19.7% ROI
- UNLV is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI
Boise State is winless (0-2) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .225
Boise State is 17-4 (.654) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .433
Boise State is 13-5 (.520) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .418
Boise State is 20-6 (.606) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 14th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .463
UNLV is 6-16 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 31st-worst in FBS; Average: .387
UNLV is 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2021 season– tied for 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .474
UNLV is winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .130
UNLV is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .406
UNLV has gained 2,559 yards on 188 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.1% of 297 attempts this season — tied for 35th-best among FBS offenses. Boise State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.