Betting on quarterback ineptitude is one of my NFL guilty pleasures. I especially like back-breaking interceptions that completely flip the momentum of the game.
That's why I'm diving headfirst into the quarterback interception market to identify key spots each week to cash in on quarterback miscues.
It's worth noting that I track all interception props from each quarterback and it's been a huge windfall for bettors who choose to only bet on them when they are plus-money (+100 or higher). In 2023, had you bet on every quarterback that was plus-money to throw an interception, you'd be 62-55 for +20.1U thus far.
This comes off last season's momentum when the same trend went 81-75 for +24.5U. We can thank Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott for a lot of those winnings – he finished 2022 at +8.6U for INT props (league leader) and he threw an interception in five of six games when listed at plus-money.