The Indiana Hoosiers (3-8) visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (3-8) on Nov. 25 in West Lafayette.
Purdue is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Indiana vs. Purdue Over/Under is 51 total points.
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Indiana vs Purdue Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 54.3% confidence.
Indiana vs Purdue Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 75.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+5.25 Units / 175% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jaylin Lucas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donaven McCulley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylin Lucas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Deion Burks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Hudson Card has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).
- Indiana is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -26.01% ROI
- Indiana is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Indiana is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.45% ROI).
- Purdue is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -48.35% ROI
- Purdue is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
- Purdue is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
Indiana is 2-23 (.080) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .406
Indiana is 1-21 (.045) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .449
Indiana is 2-19 (.074) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
Indiana is 2-19 (.095) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .359
Purdue is 16-8 (.571) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .445
Purdue is winless (0-12) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .010
Purdue is 10-5 (.667) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 38th-best in FBS; Average: .568
Purdue is 18-9 (.643) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 34th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Purdue has gained 2,119 yards on 196 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — tied for fourth-worst among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for ninth-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 47 receptions in 10 games (4.7 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.