The Troy Trojans (9-2) visit M.M. Roberts Stadium to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (3-8) on Nov. 25 in Hattiesburg.
Troy is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Troy vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Troy will win this game with 89.5% confidence.
Troy vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Troy and Southern Miss, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Troy have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Southern Miss Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Southern Mississippi has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Troy Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Troy players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gunnar Watson has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kimani Vidal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Chris Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Gunnar Watson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jabre Barber has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Southern Miss Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Southern Miss players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jakarius Caston has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Billy Wiles has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Latreal Jones has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Billy Wiles has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.55 Units / 155% ROI)
- Frank Gore Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.17% ROI).
- Troy is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 13.18% ROI
- Troy is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- Troy is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Southern Miss Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Southern Miss is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.65 Units / -30.29% ROI).
- Southern Miss is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -13.24% ROI
- Southern Miss is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Southern Miss is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
Troy is undefeated (15-0) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Troy is 17-2 (.708) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .407
Troy is undefeated (10-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .486
Troy was undefeated (9-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .463
Southern Miss is 5-18 (.217) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 8th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .411
Southern Miss is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .401
Southern Miss is 5-17 (.227) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .405
Southern Miss is 7-19 (.269) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .397