Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13
Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (11-0) on Nov. 25 in Ann Arbor.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Ohio State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 62.6% confidence.

Ohio State vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 62% ROI)

  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)

Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Cade Stover has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Julian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle McCord has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kyle McCord has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Colston Loveland has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI).

  • Ohio State is 10-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 1.37% ROI
  • Ohio State is 2-9 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI
  • Ohio State is 9-2 when betting the Under for +6.8 Units / 56.2% ROI

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.45 Units / -3.73% ROI).

  • Michigan is 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 1.21% ROI
  • Michigan is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Michigan is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .574

Ohio State is 16-1 (.941) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .411

Ohio State is 16-1 (.941) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .449

Ohio State is undefeated (6-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .473

Michigan is 15-2 (.882) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .372

Michigan is 22-3 (.880) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .418

Michigan is 22-1 (.957) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .497

Michigan is 20-1 (.952) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .449

Michigan has gained 2,374 yards on 182 receptions (13.0 YPR) this season — second-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Michigan’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.2% of 241 attempts this season — tied for seventh-best among FBS offenses. Maryland’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — tied for 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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